Monday, August 25, 2008

BACCARAT - Barstow, Zumma and Excel


In Frank Barstow's excellent treatise on gambling systems, "Beat the Casino" (1979 Carlyle) the author makes some pretty strong claims about expected success using his pet systems. He claims on page 216, for example, that his "Barstow System" "can" average 12 units per hour profit. His conclusions are the result of a combination of reasoning, simulated trials and "real" Casino play.

It strikes me that with today's technology and information we can "test" Barstows claims in a way that he could not have easily accomplished.

Erick St. Germain's "72 Days at the Baccarat Table" (1995 Zumma) lists the outcomes of each decision in 600 "real casino" Baccarat shoes (about 40,000 decisions). Using a simple Excel spreadsheet, I have been able to test some of the the Zumma shoes against several systems in Barstow's book. Although I do not expect to discover the keys to the kingdom, I firmly believe that this time-consuming task will help illustrate the strengths and weaknesses of certain systems and be helpful in identifying trends within the shoes.

I'm curious if any of YOU have tried a similar approach and might be willing to share the results or are you aware of where this information may be obtained. Also, would you be interested in testing some of these 600 shoes yourself?

I plan on making some of my research available on this blog to give you all a better idea of what I'm talking about.

In the meantime "happy number crunching."

1 comment:

Daniel Jackson said...

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